Meta-Predictions

   Well, it's a new year and we all know what that means... every security publication, and plenty of non-security publications, come out with their annual security predictions.

   I predict that this year's predictions will be as boring and vanilla as last year's.  And we don't even have to wait until the end of the year to see if I'm right!

   So, rather than adding to the noise, I'll save you some clicks.  Everybody's saying the same things... cybercrime, blockchain, cryptocurrency, breaches, yada yada.

   But some people went above and beyond to make the prediction reading experience special!  Here are my favorites:

   Best presentation.  Kudos on the production value of this prediction post by Watchguard.  Between the nice graphics and videos, I was engaged.  They didn't say anything new... but the way they said it makes it worth a look.
https://www.watchguard.com/wgrd-resource-center/2018-security-predictions

   Best use of AI.  This is a great idea... how about machine-generated predictions!  Great fun.  And I, for one, welcome our AI overlords.  Even the text that doesn't make sense makes more sense than some other predictions!  Well done Kelly and Medium.
https://medium.com/@kshortridge/2018-cyber-security-predictions-d493e25162e7

   Best prediction of the death of passwords.  Well, really they said that password-only authentication will decrease faster.  OK, either way, we've been down this road many times before and, unfortunately, passwords ain't goin' nowhere.  We're stuck with them.
https://www.csoonline.com/article/3242866/security/our-top-7-cyber-security-predictions-for-2018.html

   Remembering what we said in 2017 award.  This post doesn't say anything particularly interesting, but I like that they go back and grade their 2017 predictions.  Of course, those predictions were pretty bland but they only gave themselves a generous 9.5 out of 10.  http://resources.infosecinstitute.com/2018-cyber-security-predictions/

   tl;dr award.  I seriously did not even read this one.  Really Forbes?  60 predictions?  I guess all the ad networks you hit us with aren't enough?  I guess quantity wins.
https://www.forbes.com/sites/gilpress/2017/11/26/60-cybersecurity-predictions-for-2018/

   What are your favorite predictions?

   Here's to a great 2018!

Cyberbullying and the New Math

   According to Cyberbullying Research Center, the National Crime Victimization Survey (NCVS) is a large-scale data collection effort led by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Bureau of Justice Statistics.  This study has been going on since 1973.  In 1989 they added supplemental questions focused on school-related incidents, and stepped this up to a more in-depth biennial survey in 2005.

   Cyberbullying is still a major issue.  It's been over 4 years since I've written on this subject.  While there is perhaps more visibility, the basic problems haven't changed.

  Based on the above benchmark, at first glance, bullying appears to be trending down over the past decade.

   While there have been some high-profile cases over the years, this is a real, current and ongoing issue.

Cyberbullying - Improvements or More Problems?

   In addition to Cyber Security Awareness Month, October was also Cyberbullying Awareness Month.  There were a number of online campaigns to raise awareness on the topic including some high-profile pages on Facebook and Cartoon Network.

   This is an important topic and needs our attention.  I have given many presentations over the years on Internet Safety topics.  This past weekend my wife, a clinical psychologist, and I partnered on a presentation on Bullying and Cyberbullying at our local school district parent fair.  Here are the slides.

   Unfortunately, bullying has been around as long as there have been people.  The internet, social networks and mobile devices supplement have turned "old school" bullying into a 24x7 assault.

Pro-Hero instead of Anti-Bully

   As I mentioned in my post last week, I recently did an Internet Safety and Tech talk for parents of preschoolers.  When I talk about this and related topics, I always talk about bullying and cyberbullying.

   Unfortunately, the concept of bullying has been around through the history of humans.  Interestingly, the term and specific study did not begin until the 1800s.  Of course, bullying is not just something that happens to children in schools.  My friend Denise Moreland discusses workplace bullying and bad management in her book (buy it here) and blog.

   There have been traditional ways parents and schools have tried to deal with bullying.  I'll discuss those below.  I say "tried" because these methods haven't really worked.  There's also been an anti-bullying movement over the past 10-20 years.  Even with all the media attention this gets, that method doesn't work either.

   I've recently learned of a new approach that I think can work!  It's called Pro-Hero.  Check out this great TEDtalk covering the basics.

Tech-Smart Parents and Preschoolers

   This past weekend I had the opportunity to do something fun and different!

   I've been lecturing on Internet Safety and Awareness to all kinds of groups for about 15 years.  I've met with parents and professionals at conferences, businesses, churches, school district parent fairs and have even provided training to law enforcement personnel.  I enjoy doing this and always learn something new.

   After presenting at a school district parent fair last fall, I was invited to present at a local Young Children and Technology conference, specifically covering technology for the preschool and younger set!  Since most of my material is targeted for parents of preteens, teens and older, I knew I had some work to do!

   As I dove into the research, I found that there are similar categories of issues, but clearly preschoolers and toddlers use technology different than teens.